Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.051092 4.339609 4.648241 5.004631 5.406956 5.849615 6.377026
2025-08-17 3.513140 3.899500 4.337840 4.878140 5.535078 6.320102 7.348666
2025-08-24 3.201554 3.636946 4.150614 4.813015 5.662873 6.744400 8.274934
2025-08-31 3.023558 3.499743 4.079865 4.857096 5.902340 7.311225 9.458651
2025-09-07 2.870341 3.372570 4.000522 4.868923 6.084727 7.809274 10.626297
2025-09-14 2.676653 3.176732 3.813074 4.712504 6.008003 7.915004 11.197959
2025-09-21 2.533178 3.034334 3.682498 4.617635 6.001675 8.114548 11.951624
2025-09-28 2.423872 2.928709 3.591754 4.567392 6.050249 8.398055 12.905440
2025-10-05 2.341998 2.853933 3.536575 4.561017 6.160720 8.791763 14.156954
2025-10-12 2.297245 2.825812 3.542627 4.642531 6.414376 9.462829 16.161647
2025-10-19 2.250551 2.791790 3.537060 4.704163 6.639798 10.117744 18.361737
2025-10-26 2.188379 2.732733 3.491396 4.699052 6.750137 10.572113 20.255925
2025-11-02 2.102766 2.638990 3.393189 4.608850 6.711980 10.745686 21.544454
2025-11-09 2.017089 2.542071 3.286143 4.498235 6.628547 10.818370 22.606164
2025-11-16 1.951980 2.471839 3.215186 4.441044 6.635822 11.084034 24.393906
2025-11-23 1.916309 2.442317 3.203454 4.479780 6.824082 11.781427 28.038905
2025-11-30 1.876061 2.404240 3.176396 4.490168 6.958487 12.383566 31.822593
2025-12-07 1.802854 2.315097 3.066782 4.352628 6.789016 12.223198 32.391356
2025-12-14 1.746579 2.249235 2.990790 4.269042 6.720523 12.305860 34.149102
2025-12-21 1.702788 2.200393 2.939242 4.224722 6.726951 12.581031 37.085175
2025-12-28 1.670187 2.167145 2.910749 4.219096 6.812384 13.082855 41.775969
2026-01-04 1.656284 2.161397 2.925384 4.290988 7.068707 14.117975 51.267613
2026-01-11 1.639177 2.150066 2.930336 4.345283 7.293262 15.128985 63.057714